Thursday, November 5, 2009

Homebuyer Tax Credit Aiming for the End Zone!


Not only is the homebuyer tax credit extended until April 30, 2010 but there is also an expansion to include the following: increase income cap and number of homeownership years with a stipulation.

"More than 1.4 million Americans have claimed the homebuyer credit at a cost so far of about $10 billion, according to the Treasury Department. The legislation approved today would allow the credit for couples earning up to $225,000 a year and individuals earning up to $125,000. That’s up from the current $75,000 limit for individuals and $150,000 for couples.
"It would allow homebuyers who have owned their residence for at least five years to receive a $6,500 credit. Those who sell their new home or no longer use it as their main residence within three years would have to repay the credit. Homes worth more than $800,000 wouldn’t be eligible...

"Extending the credit to those who already own homes won’t reduce the excess inventory of housing blamed for the slump because “every buyer taking advantage of the move-up credit would necessarily be a seller,” Goldman Sachs said. It said the plan may increase housing prices by 1 percent because “sellers are likely to incorporate a fraction of the credit amount in their sale prices.” See Full Article by Brian Faler with Bloomberg.com

I like to say that this extension is a good change, however, it has very serious and dire consequences, at the end of the tunnel, whether we choose to acknowledge it or not. Who will pay for the cost of the extension and expansion? I'm all for selling more houses because that is my business but at what cost and to what end?

"We", seemingly the majority, claim that we are fed up with the avalanche of mortgage fraud, money sucking CEOs, and dishonest political dealings that has entrenched us in an insurmountable deficient and yet we the people are not up in arms about the homebuyer tax credit extension and expansion. Don't mind the extension, what about the expansion?

I think that most of us feel a disconnect with events far away or events that we do not feel a part of, to some respect, and don't fully comprehend their tidal affect until it hits our shore, i.e. our pocket book, our retirement account, more taxes, increased food prices. Should we not act now to secure our future by putting aside our desire for immediate gratifications by investing in our nation's financial future, so we and our future generations may reap of its benefits and rewards, later?

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Smart Market Report (SMR) October End 2009

(Double click on image to enlarge)
Smart Market Report courtesy of Ron Sparks, designated broker of Coldwell Banker Bain of Bellevue.

SMR strategy is to determine if it is a buyer's market or a seller's market. Once you can decipher which it is and at what range, price the property accordingly. If neutral is at 4.5 and 1 and 9 are the extremities then numbers nearing or surpassing these extremities requires aggressive pricing; whether that aggressive pricing requires an increase or a decrease, it may exceed more than a few thousand, it may require several thousand, or tens of thousands.

Eastside Market Statistics

(Double click on image to enlarge)

Eastside and Mercer Island Market Trends Jan 2007-Sept 2009Graph courtesy of Alan L. Pope & Associate appraisal

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Jumbo FHA and Buyers Tax Credit to extend & HVCC will be ousted


FHA Conforming Loan Limits

House and Senate have extended the high-cost loan limit, $729,750, until the end of 2010, December 31; and thereafter it may fall back to $625,000. DS News

Buyer Tax Credit extension

"Under the new language in the Senate, homeowners who have lived in their home for five of the past eight years would be eligible to receive a $6,500 tax credit, while first-time buyers would still be eligible for an $8,000 credit, [expansion proposal].

"The proposal would also increase the income limits of those eligible for the program, to $125,000 per year for individuals and $225,000 for couples...

"[The] expansion would cost about $10.2 billion over 10 years and would be paid for with offsetting cuts elsewhere in the budget. Simply extending the current tax credit is estimated to cost $1 billion a month...

"Analysts say the credit has helped the housing market, although critics question whether the value is worth the cost" (Full Report on Reuter ).
November 4, 2009 - Home Buyer Tax Credit extend until April 30, 2009
see Bloomberg article by Brian Faler


The HVCC which was instigated to prevent appraisal coercion, appraisal fraud. During the "hot" market, some appraiser felt the banks and real estate agents pressured them to appraise more then the property was worth, thus manipulating their valuation and putting some reputable appraisers out of business because of steep competition to conform and placing the consumers at risk for default. Read more on HVCC by Dave Biggers at Appraisal Press. A highly recommended article.

Excerpts from article:

1. Under the HVCC, any lender using a professional appraiser incurs substantial
regulatory risks and additional costs, whereas AVMs, BPOs, and other valuation
alternatives are expressly and repeatedly exempted from the same regulations and
liabilities.

2. The HVCC unduly restricts the appraiser's ability to operate a business in the same
manner as the other parties already in the transaction.

3. Lenders must be prohibited from owning or controlling, in whole or in part, any sort of
valuation entity or mechanism used in the origination of a loan.

4. All valuations, regardless of method employed, must be provided to the borrower in the
same manner.

5. Any complaints regarding the valuation process should be reported solely to the IVPI,
not to the lender overseeing the origination.

"We do believe that these five areas can be addressed, and that to fail to do so would fly in the face of the original intent of the agreement which spawned the HVCC - namely, to strengthen the independence and reliability of the valuations backing what is for most Americans the single largest source of their net worth. Eliminating coercion of appraisers is essential to ensuring that we have maximum transparency and accountability in the real estate transaction and the financial markets which depend upon them. However, a regulation which damages and circumvents the very industry it seeks to protect - and which in turn harms consumers and investors - will not get us as a nation any closer to that goal."

HVCC was to implement independent appraisal valuation of properties, independent from the influence of sales agents and independent from the influences of banks thus protecting the consumers and supporting reputable appraisal practices. However, when HVCC was implemented, it created higher cost for consumers, devastated the appraisal industry by putting many companies out of business, created profitable avenues for banks by eliminating the competitions and loop holes for them to get around HVCC requirements which resulted in questionable regulatory practices. It is because of these that it is due to go away on the 1st of January 2010.